![]() So it’s very viable to take both of our QBs in that Round 6-10 range. As the QB position evolves with more true dual-threats, we are seeing higher ceiling players with more ability to separate from their peers than in the past. Justin won last year’s Underdog Best Ball Mania tournament for $200K.Īnalysis: The data shows that ideally we take a high-upside QB in Rounds 6 through 10 and only end up with two total QBs. NOTE: The “Herzig’s Take” section refers to Justin Herzig’s thoughts as of May 9, 2021. * Starting lineup: QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FLEX Then, we dissected all of the rosters in the Underdog Best Ball Mania tournament. First, w e looked at results from 2017-2019, simulating roughly 26,000 teams based on average draft position (ADP) in search of winning roster constructions. In order to solve the question of positional allocation, we took a data-driven approach. As you’ll see below, wide receivers will be our most-rostered position. The weekly range of outcomes at wide receiver is wider than at running back, tight end, and quarterback. Second, we need to account for positional volatility. But if the first QB we draft is Carson Wentz, then taking a three is correct. In that scenario, selecting just two QBs (with different bye weeks of course) is correct. If our QB1 is Patrick Mahomes, he’s very likely to be the quarterback who counts in our lineup an overwhelming majority of weeks. In other words, how many players at each position should we draft? It’s a simple question with a complicated answer for a couple reasons.įirst, our decisions should be dynamic to our positional strength - which is a function of draft capital. ![]() ![]() We also need to consider the implications of the no-transaction format.Ī big part of that is roster construction. In Best Ball, simply picking the right players is not a realistic strategy.
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